Will the Time person of the year in 2024 be the US president-elect?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This resolves positively if the Time person of the year in 2024 is the president-elect or both the president- and vice-president-elect, as determined by projected electoral votes as called by the Associated Press
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
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1,000
3.00Hmmm. Historically, it seems that Time has always featured the President-elect even if it was for a second term, but they have not always done so in the year of the election. This could go either way.
@DanielParker For what it’s worth, the last time the President-elect was not Person of the Year was 1996. I think if Trump wins, it’s a no brainer Person of the Year given him as a character & Project 2025. If Biden wins, maybe it’s a little more iffy? That’s my reading of it.