NOTE:

in order to prevent a confusing passing time, exact time of the pass in this market will be determined by analyzing the electionbettingodds “last day” chart for the 2024 US Presidency (data plotted every 30ish-minutes).

Through analyzing the graph after market creation, if at any 30-minute interval, I determine Trump’s odds have overtaken Kamala by at least 0.1% it will be considered a pass for the point at which the 0.1% or greater Trump lead is shown on the graph.

The first pass since 9/11 12am EST will be the only pass considered in resolving this market.

To further ensure bias has no roll in determining the “official time of the pass” I will not trade in this market.

If Trump odds never pass Kamala (0.1% gap favoring Trump) before the eod (11:59:59 pm EST) Jan 5th 2025, then “Trump never passes Kamala (by 0.1%)” will resolve YES and everything else will resolve NO.

NOTE: each option referring to a specific day have the following rules: 11:59:59 pm EST when it’s the second day mentioned, and 12:00:00 am EST when it’s the first day mentioned in the option.

Any glitches on their website will not resolve this. I will wait until the point in question is static and the following point is plotted to determine if it was a pass and at what exact moment.

Comment any question or news you have! 💙