Resolution Criteria:
The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $90,000 USD at any point during December 2024, based on the last price in any 1-minute candlestick on Coinbase.
• If Bitcoin does not fall below $90K during December 2024, the market resolves “No.”
Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2024, at 23:59 PST, or earlier if the price condition is met.
date, TimeGPT = closing price
2024-12-21, 100263.0859375
2024-12-22, 100872.21875
2024-12-23, 100760.6640625
2024-12-24, 99919.71875
2024-12-25, 99522.9375
2024-12-26, 99831.1953125
2024-12-27, 99990.5
2024-12-28, 99981.234375
2024-12-29, 100412.7734375
2024-12-30, 100446.546875
2024-12-31, 99927.203125
2025-01-01, 99727.8125
timeOpen, TimeGPT = max price
2024-12-20, 103886.140625
2024-12-21, 103788.234375
2024-12-22, 103862.15625
2024-12-23, 103800.34375
2024-12-24, 103084.125
2024-12-25, 103458.625
2024-12-26, 103900.3125
2024-12-27, 103341.2265625
2024-12-28, 103169.640625
2024-12-29, 103553.328125
2024-12-30, 103657.75
2024-12-31, 103311.6875
timeOpen, TimeGPT = min price
2024-12-20, 98544.6328125
2024-12-21, 100286.8515625
2024-12-22, 99543.40625
2024-12-23, 98273.203125
2024-12-24, 97675.3671875
2024-12-25, 97167.296875
2024-12-26, 97274.9375
2024-12-27, 98358.390625
2024-12-28, 99875.8984375
2024-12-29, 99573.328125
2024-12-30, 98522.3828125
2024-12-31, 98037.3671875
My public experiment with TimeGPT. I have no idea if it will work.
This is based on these data:
Bitcoin price today, BTC to USD live price, marketcap and chart | CoinMarketCap
Based on a year of weekly data. Lowest daily price:
timeOpen TimeGPT
2024-12-02 87122.375
2024-12-09 83965.078125
2024-12-16 80847.2265625
2024-12-23 78583.0390625
2024-12-30 76875.6015625
2025-01-06 75158.671875
2025-01-13 73818.453125
Based on a month of daily data. Lowest daily price:
timeOpen TimeGPT
2024-12-04 93714.8671875
2024-12-05 95064.421875
2024-12-06 95933.4375
2024-12-07 96152.734375
2024-12-08 95752.921875
2024-12-09 94840.125
2024-12-10 94357.6484375
2024-12-11 94215.2109375
2024-12-12 95997.53125
2024-12-13 96578.0703125
2024-12-14 96740.703125
2024-12-15 96420.171875
2024-12-16 95162.9140625
2024-12-17 93792.265625
2024-12-18 93894.109375
2024-12-19 96252.171875
2024-12-20 96741.0
2024-12-21 96724.765625
2024-12-22 96352.7734375
2024-12-23 95218.828125
I go with the second guess for now.