Bitcoin below $90K in December?
➕
Plus
68
Ṁ29k
Jan 1
39%
chance

Resolution Criteria:

The market resolves “Yes” if Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $90,000 USD at any point during December 2024, based on the last price in any 1-minute candlestick on Coinbase.

• If Bitcoin does not fall below $90K during December 2024, the market resolves “No.”

Resolution Date & Time: December 31, 2024, at 23:59 PST, or earlier if the price condition is met.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

date, TimeGPT = closing price

2024-12-21, 100263.0859375

2024-12-22, 100872.21875

2024-12-23, 100760.6640625

2024-12-24, 99919.71875

2024-12-25, 99522.9375

2024-12-26, 99831.1953125

2024-12-27, 99990.5

2024-12-28, 99981.234375

2024-12-29, 100412.7734375

2024-12-30, 100446.546875

2024-12-31, 99927.203125

2025-01-01, 99727.8125

timeOpen, TimeGPT = max price

2024-12-20, 103886.140625

2024-12-21, 103788.234375

2024-12-22, 103862.15625

2024-12-23, 103800.34375

2024-12-24, 103084.125

2024-12-25, 103458.625

2024-12-26, 103900.3125

2024-12-27, 103341.2265625

2024-12-28, 103169.640625

2024-12-29, 103553.328125

2024-12-30, 103657.75

2024-12-31, 103311.6875

timeOpen, TimeGPT = min price

2024-12-20, 98544.6328125

2024-12-21, 100286.8515625

2024-12-22, 99543.40625

2024-12-23, 98273.203125

2024-12-24, 97675.3671875

2024-12-25, 97167.296875

2024-12-26, 97274.9375

2024-12-27, 98358.390625

2024-12-28, 99875.8984375

2024-12-29, 99573.328125

2024-12-30, 98522.3828125

2024-12-31, 98037.3671875

My public experiment with TimeGPT. I have no idea if it will work.

This is based on these data:

Bitcoin price today, BTC to USD live price, marketcap and chart | CoinMarketCap

Based on a year of weekly data. Lowest daily price:

timeOpen TimeGPT

2024-12-02 87122.375

2024-12-09 83965.078125

2024-12-16 80847.2265625

2024-12-23 78583.0390625

2024-12-30 76875.6015625

2025-01-06 75158.671875

2025-01-13 73818.453125

Based on a month of daily data. Lowest daily price:

timeOpen TimeGPT

2024-12-04 93714.8671875

2024-12-05 95064.421875

2024-12-06 95933.4375

2024-12-07 96152.734375

2024-12-08 95752.921875

2024-12-09 94840.125

2024-12-10 94357.6484375

2024-12-11 94215.2109375

2024-12-12 95997.53125

2024-12-13 96578.0703125

2024-12-14 96740.703125

2024-12-15 96420.171875

2024-12-16 95162.9140625

2024-12-17 93792.265625

2024-12-18 93894.109375

2024-12-19 96252.171875

2024-12-20 96741.0

2024-12-21 96724.765625

2024-12-22 96352.7734375

2024-12-23 95218.828125

I go with the second guess for now.

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