will this tweet hold up: Starship will fly to Mars in 24 months [27 Oct, 2026]
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per this tweet:
Will Starship make its first flight to Mars by October 27, 2026?
market resolves when Starship makes its first flight to Mars. Starship must land on Mars - any incidents between takeoff and arrival that compromise the ship (and preclude it from landing) will not count for a Yes resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@shankypanky Yeah, by "when the transit window opens again" Elon obviously means depart by ~Jan 2027 and arrive a few months later. So even if the market closes on Oct 27, it would be wise to wait and resolve in mid-2027.
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