⏳Of these 40 events, which will be the first 20 to happen in 2025? (0 DONE)
Plus
32
Ṁ52632026
96%
Manifest 2025 happens
96%
English Wikipedia reaches 7M articles or more
93%
Trump enacts tariffs on china
87%
Trump fires / discharges / replaces a member of his cabinet
72%
Trump deportations officially start happening
71%
Earthquake magnitude 7.8 or higher somewhere in the world
61%
Sailing releases as a skill in Old School Runescape
60%
SpaceX IPO finalized
59%
Mr Beast reaches 400M subscribers on youtube
57%
Verdict in P Diddy Sean Combs trial is reached
55%
Spider Man Beyond the Spider Verse release date announced
53%
Chat GPT 5 releases
52%
Bitcoin BTC reaches $150K USD or more
52%
100th spacex launch of the year
50%
Lego releases a record breaking set with the most pieces (bigger than Lego Art World Map)
50%
Skate 4 releases
50%
Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases
50%
Eric Adams no longer mayor of NYC
50%
Manifold announces they have raised more money through grant/investors/etc
50%
StubHub IPO finalized
The first 20 events in this market that happen will resolve YES, the other 20 will resolve NO. If only a few resolve YES, the remaining answers will all resolve NO at end of year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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