Who will win the Nobel Prize in Economics, 2024?
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Plus
22
Ṁ14k
Oct 16
37%
Other
11%
Daron Acemoglu
8%
Philippe Aghion
7%
Ed Glaeser
5%
David Kreps
5%
Anne Krueger
5%
Raj Chetty
5%
Andrei Shleifer
5%
Dave Donaldson
4%
Susan Athey
4%
Joel Mokyr
3%
Robin Hanson

Will resolve other if none of the listed options win, not if one unlisted person wins with a listed person.

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What if multiple people on the list win? Does it resolve 50/50, 33/33/33?

Yeah, that’s reasonable. The possibility is forestalled by asking about people who are altogether unlikely to share a prize together (as would be the case if we asked about, say, Johnson and Robinson). Other will be only if no one in the people listed wins.