Popular vote margin of victory (between first and second place) in each state by percentage points.
Inspired by Nate Silver's bet: /Ziddletwix/nate-silver-100k-twitter-bet-will-t .
Spread betting explained here: https://www.fantasylife.com/articles/betting/what-is-spread-betting-everything-you-need-to-know
Spreads originally taken from https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/#influential-races on 10/9/2024 at 21:00 PST
I may add multiple lines for the same state over time
If either nominee gets replaced for some reason, this market will instead use the odds for their party replacement (i.e. "Harris" is the same as "Democratic nominee")
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not looking good for harris in most states
Three days until election day! Just added the latest predictions from FiveThirtyEight @traders