At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
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Something like "Republic of Sakha", "Sakha federation", "Yakut republic" etc. would also count.
The purpose of this market is to predict if the Sakha republic would secede from Russia.
If a country with a similar name is member of the UN that has no relation whatsoever to the Sakha republic that is currently part of Russia, this is not enough to trigger a YES resolution. This question refers to some kind of descendant of the current Sakha republic.
Check out my similar markets about Siberia in general, as well as Chechnya
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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