At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Basic
6
Ṁ1712049
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Something like "Republic of Sakha", "Sakha federation", "Yakut republic" etc. would also count.
The purpose of this market is to predict if the Sakha republic would secede from Russia.
If a country with a similar name is member of the UN that has no relation whatsoever to the Sakha republic that is currently part of Russia, this is not enough to trigger a YES resolution. This question refers to some kind of descendant of the current Sakha republic.
Check out my similar markets about Siberia in general, as well as Chechnya
:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
40% chance
At any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
15% chance
By the start of 2026, will a country named Russia be a member of the UN?
91% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
49% chance
Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?
78% chance
When will a new state join United Nations?
By 2050, will any territory that was administered by Russia in 2013 be administered by China instead?
38% chance
Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?
Will Russia control Sakhalin on Jan 1st 2034?
63% chance
Will Russia rejoin G7/G8 before EOY 2050?
46% chance