At any point before the start of 2050, will a country named Siberia (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
Plus
12
Ṁ2622049
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@KongoLandwalker I guess this wouldn't be enough to trigger a YES resolution, due to how the criterion was phrased.
@wadimiusz Could you make a market about "Yakut something" naming variant? I think it is more likely, and those two markets could go in pair. Both would correlate, but it would reflect what is more important for the people in that part of asia - territory or nation identification.
@KongoLandwalker I can. But why can't you make it, though? you wanna trade on in and you don't trade on your own markets, or something?
@wadimiusz I don't want to steal themes for markets, so I usually ask if a person would want to do that himself.
And I think it is more consistent when markets are grouped under market creators
Related questions
Related questions
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Chechnya (or similar) be a member of the UN?
40% chance
At any point before start of 2050, will a country named Yakutia or Sakha (or something similar) be a member of the UN?
16% chance
By the start of 2026, will a country named Russia be a member of the UN?
91% chance
Will any part of pre-2014 Russia territory become an internationally recognized independent state by the end of 2040?
49% chance
Will a new Country be recognized by the UN before 2030?
78% chance
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
51% chance
By 2050, will any territory that was administered by Russia in 2013 be administered by China instead?
38% chance
Will Russia rejoin G7/G8 before EOY 2050?
46% chance
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
36% chance
United nations - will it stand by 2040?