US Inauguration Day Prop Bets [OPEN FOR QUESTIONS] (Jan. 20th 2025)
US Politics2024 US Presidential ElectionPoliticsUnited States
Mini
15
Ṁ790
2025
84%
The speech will contain the word "great".
66%
The speech will mention the losing (runner-up) presidential candidate by name
66%
≥3 previous presidents in attendance
64%
A former or current president will be seen wearing sunglasses.
61%
An original musical piece will be composed for and performed at the ceremony
53%
The speech will make mention of a peaceful transition of power.
50%
Over 2,000 words in inaugural address
50%
It rains, to some degree
48%
Trump attends
44%
A pop song will be performed
34%
Speech makes a joke about how many people are or aren't in attendance
34%
Booing loud enough for speech to halt
29%
Trump and Biden will shake hands on camera at any point during the day.
25%
The oath will be fumbled to the extent that is re-administered later to be sure (like Obama in 2008)

The other market won't let you add questions... but I will!


On Camera

There will be a lot of news footage, interviews, and different camera angles throughout the day. If you've got proof of a question resolving, link to the video and the timestamp.

Speech

If you make a question about the president's inaugural speech, using quotes means that exact word must be said. Not using quotes gives more leeway.

Weather

We'll use the official data from the national weather service.

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For Trump phrases before Inauguration Day: https://manifold.markets/MichaelVoss/what-2-word-phrase-will-donald-trum?r=TWljaGFlbFZvc3M

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