On 25 September 2024 Hezbollah launched a missile at Tel Aviv that was intercepted by Israeli air defense and resulted in no casualties. This market is intended to work as a proxy for whether Hezbollah will succeed in any further missile attacks on Tel Aviv.

Resolves YES if credible sources report that a missile fired by Hezbollah before 1 January 2025 Tel Aviv time killed someone in Tel Aviv. Otherwise resolves NO.