Will a Hezbollah missile kill someone in Tel Aviv in 2024? | Manifold

Will a Hezbollah missile kill someone in Tel Aviv in 2024?

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On 25 September 2024 Hezbollah launched a missile at Tel Aviv that was intercepted by Israeli air defense and resulted in no casualties. This market is intended to work as a proxy for whether Hezbollah will succeed in any further missile attacks on Tel Aviv.

Resolves YES if credible sources report that a missile fired by Hezbollah before 1 January 2025 Tel Aviv time killed someone in Tel Aviv. Otherwise resolves NO.

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Yesterday Hezbollah rocket injured a few people in Tel Aviv. Quite sure soon they will kill somebody

bought Ṁ25 NO

You won't count someone getting into a car crash during a siren or having a panic attack that causes his death right?

These are quite common.

@Shai No, it has to be from the explosion or from debris/fires/etc. caused by the explosion.

Quite a few people were injured in recent Hezbollah drone attack. I think soon there will be some casualties

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