If Trump became the GOP nominee Which states will be won by him in 2024 presidential election? [200M subsidy]
Plus
29
Ṁ9218Dec 31
96%
Oklahoma
96%
Alabama
96%
Nebraska
95%
Wyoming
95%
Mississippi
95%
Louisiana
95%
South Carolina
95%
North Dakota
95%
South Dakota
95%
Tennessee
95%
West Virginia
95%
Idaho
95%
Arkansas
95%
Kentucky
94%
Montana
94%
Alaska
94%
Kansas
93%
Missouri
93%
Utah
91%
Indiana
Resolves Yes if Trump became the GOP nominee and won the state in the 2024 election
Resolves No if Trump became the GOP nominee at any point and did not win the state in the 2024 election
Resolves No if Trump became the GOP nominee at any point and later dropped out from the election for any reason
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@AmmonLam By the way, you should know that there are existing markets for this question and your dem one:
New manifold policy for 2024 is to not subsidize exact duplicate questions like this when an older one exists:
Duplicate markets are certainly allowed and I see you added your own subsidy, but just thought you should know in case you hadn't seen that addition to the guidelines.
Related questions
Related questions
2024 House Races: Which congressional elections will be won by a Republican? [10K Subsidy]
Will the Republican presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Biden in 2020?
99% chance
Conditional on being nominated by the Republican party, will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
99% chance
Will Donald Trump win the following swing states in the 2024 Presidential Election
Will Donald Trump win a majority of the vote (>50%) in these states?
Which “swing states” will be won by a Republican candidate in 2024 US presidential election?
Will the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Trump in 2020?
8% chance
If Biden became the Dem nominee, Which states will be won by him in the 2024 presidential election? [200M subsidy]
Which of these U.S. states will swing Republican from 2020 to 2024?
Where will Donald Trump win more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election than he did in the 2020 election?