Will a nuclear weapon cause over 100,000 deaths in 2023?
Basic
32
Ṁ8939resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
inclusing tests
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?
2% chance
Will nuclear weapons cause over 100,000 fatalities in 2024?
1% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 10,000 deaths in 2024?
2% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths in 2024?
2% chance
Will a nuclear weapon detonation cause at least 1 fatality, by end of 2024?
2% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
44% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
22% chance
Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?
[ACX 2024] Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
2% chance
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
2% chance