If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month? | Manifold

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?

Plus

46

Ṁ4429

2030

67%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves YES if this market resolves YES, and within a month from that time, a Chinese military unit has either:

Killed a deployed member of the US military.
Fired on a US military vehicle or base.

This market resolves NO if this doesn't happen within a month of the resolution of the previously mentioned market. If that market resolves NO or N/A, this market resolves N/A.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

#China Taiwan potential conflict

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ25 YES

If China decides to attack Taiwan, it would make a lot of sense to attack the US and Japan as well simultaneously.

I think the invasion will start with attacks on the US Navy, perhaps from ships that appear to be civilian.

@BTE Exactly.

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Partially inspired by this blog post.

Related questions

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

+6% 1d60% chance

When will China invade Taiwan

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of November?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

In what month will China invade Taiwan?

Will China launch an attack on Taiwan in 2024?

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?

Related questions

If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly?

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

When will China invade Taiwan

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be Chinese strikes on American soil?

When the PRC invades Taiwan will they preemptively attack US, British, Japanese, Kiwi, and/or Australian military/intelligence assets in the region?

In what month will China invade Taiwan?

If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030

Will China launch an attack on Taiwan in 2024?

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of November?

If the US defends Taiwan from Chinese invasion, will there be American strikes on Chinese soil?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules