In what month will China invade Taiwan?
Mini
15
Ṁ8282031
1D
1W
1M
ALL
46%
43%
Never
4%
October 2027
4%
April 2028
1%
April 2027
Resolution criteria:
The Associated Press and the New York Times both report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan*
Or
At least 1000 military personnel from the People's Liberation Army have been deployed to Taiwan for the purpose of putting the sovereignty of the main island under PRC rule.
*The date that is reported within the articles rather than the date of publication of the articles, will be considered the invasion date.
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would be restricted to two “windows” of attack, from May to July and the month of October.
https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2535&context=nwc-review
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