Musk visits white house if Trump wins. Or doesn't visit if Harris wins, by mid 2025
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34
Ṁ3144
2025
81%
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This is a double conditional so it should be possible to bet without worrying

The claim is both that:

  • If Trump wins Elon will visit the white house

  • If Harris wins Elon will not visit white house

The time period begins when either Harris or Trump assumes office, and ends either early if a visit happens, or at end of claim period June 30 2025.

Any visit must be confirmed to have happened officially by the white house, or by a photograph, or by a major us newspaper such as the la times, wash post, etc, excluding nyt.

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Thinking about this. Maybe we could call this type of question a "polarization test" it's a conditional but has both arms in one, just with the evaluations flipped.

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