Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
Plus
18
Ṁ11522026
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If they are elected at any point in the 30 days prior to death, or the day they die, it will resolve YES.
House & Senate
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
TLDR congresspeople have died in most years this century (the exceptions are 2003, 2004, 2006, 2011, 2014, and 2017).
Related questions
Related questions
Will a living US President (past or current) pass away before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
83% chance
Will a member of United States House of Representatives die in 2025?
65% chance
Will a member of United States senate die in 2025?
55% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
77% chance
Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the US Congress by January 2025?
13% chance
Will a sitting member of Congress die while in office before the end of 2025?
79% chance
Will a president of the USA die while in office before the end of 2050
58% chance
Which President will pass away before 2030
Will the next President of the United States die in office?
21% chance