How many of the seven vote Dem for US President in 2024?
This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to the official Manifold Politics markets resolutions:
/ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-us-preside-c1307cf9f69a
/ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-us-preside-9d5b554982a7
/ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-us-preside-7e7362326c95
/ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-us-preside-c2b132de8821
/ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-us-preside-5777ea10ce2a
/ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-us-preside
/ManifoldPolitics/which-party-will-win-the-us-preside-ee07598f45ea
Closely related markets:
This is also part of a series I began a while ago, with the overall intent of looking at how statewise results are related to each other. Here are a few more in a similar vein:
/EvanDaniel/rust-belt-states-how-many-will-vote
/EvanDaniel/how-many-of-the-original-13-colonie
/EvanDaniel/pairwise-state-results-which-pairs
/EvanDaniel/close-states-how-many-of-13-will-fl
I'd be very interested to hear what people like / don't like about this question and related ones, and whether it would be interesting to add to the series! A particular thing I'm curious about is whether the "exact number" style (linked market, like this one) or the "at least N" style (unlinked market, most of the linked markets) is better. Which do you prefer betting in or find easier to think about?