Will the Democratic candidate get at least this many electoral votes from these 7 swing states?
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40
Ṁ3996resolved Nov 8
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YES 0
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NO 6
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NO10
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NO11
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NO15
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NO16
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NO17
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NO19
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NO21
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NO22
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NO25
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NO26
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NO27
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NO29
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NO30
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NO31
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NO32
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NO33
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NO34
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NO35
In the map below, seven states are marked as "Toss-up": Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
This question resolves YES for all numbers at and below the total number of electoral college votes among those states of these which the Democratic candidate wins.
Please provide answers in the form of whole numbers between 0 and 94. Other numbers are subject to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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@EvanDaniel A different market on the same set of states:
@EvanDaniel I originally made it as part of a network of markets for arbitrage of the top line POTUS outcome and state outcomes, but fees are higher now and I’m not sure how well it works for that anymore 🫤. One of these outcomes should still be pretty closely arbable with the big one.
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