Will Sri Lanka restructure or default on its international debt obligations in 2024?

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2025

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predicts NO 🤖

Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 30%, market is 53%.

predicts YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 69%, market is 53%.

predicts YES 🤖

Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 44%, market is 53%.

predicts YES 🤖

Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 40%, market is 53%.

predicts YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 65%, market is 53%.

predicts YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 65%, market is 53%.

🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 77%, market is 53% (after my trade).

🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 85%, market is 53% (after my trade).

🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 95%, market is 53% (after my trade).

95%

90%

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/sri-lanka-reaches-debt-restructuring-deal-with-creditor-nations-government-2023-11-29/

Yeah, looks like a deal was reached? Is it a sure thing though?