Resolves YES: https://abcnews.go.com/Elections/2024-us-presidential-election-results-live-map

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How does this resolve if Trump does not become the Republican nominee?

@TonyJackson NO

There is still absolutely zero chance of this happening

@BTE absolutely zero chance of Trump receiving 81% of the votes that he got in 2020?

@SemioticRivalry As the incumbent before January 6 and the many trials that are forthcoming. As you know I don’t even think he makes it to the general election so that is also a major factor for me. But even if he does, he is no longer a candidate that can attract moderates or conservative democrats. He is embracing a national ban on abortion. He has nothing to offer except drama and retribution.

@BTE I just don't see how you can get to basically zero for something that has happened already twice for Trump- and both times he was already quite controversial, and there is little evidence that he is substantially more controversial now. And also for Romney, McCain, and Bush, with much lower populations.

There aren't 60 million people who even like Trump in the US. Don't get me wrong, he is still the hero of 40-45 million, but that is his ceiling. There is absolutely nothing he could do short of stepping in front of a bus that would earn back the favor of enough of the haters to have a chance at 60 million.

@BTE @Gigacasting odds are increasingly likely he gets zero votes.