Will turnout in the 2024 general election be HIGHER than in the 2019 general election?
Basic
28
5.8k
resolved Jul 5
Resolved
NO

Turnout in the 2019 general election across the UK was 67.3%, therefore if the turnout in 2024 is higher than 67.3%, then this question will resolve as YES, if the turnout in 2024 is lower than 67.3%, then this question will resolve as NO and if the turnout is 67.3%, then all bets will be returned.

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bought Ṁ4,000 NO

Turnout was 59.9% according to wikipedia who is probably basing that off some other source

With three results to come, the BBC is reporting 59.9%, therefore we are waiting fro Dumfries and Galloway, Inveress and South Basildon which could make the difference

This would need to be above 67.3% to resolve YES, soooo 59.9% is far off

bought Ṁ100 YES

Rationale for YES: outside view: Labour is predicted to win, and Labour benefits from turnout.

Percentage or number?

@MichaelSavage Percentage, in order to accommodate for an incrreasing electorate

bought Ṁ10 NO

I'm assuming yes is higher, no is lower?

@TheAllMemeingEye YES means that you believe turnout will be HIGHER, NO means that you believe turnout will be LOWER

bought Ṁ10 NO

@HarryHayfield It might be worth editing the title to remove "or lower" - that way the question will be clear and unambiguous!