NASA plans the first moon landing since Apollo in December 2025. The missions success is dependent on a Starship Human Landing System which will bring the astronauts to the surface and then back up to Orion. Any chance they stay on schedule?
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This market should presumably be (ever so slightly) lower than
https://manifold.markets/Treldman/will-there-be-a-new-human-moon-land
@EvanDaniel Yup and the other 4 near identical markets. Here's a complete list.
Multiple choice:
/plsdelete/when-will-humans-set-foot-on-the-mo
/JosephNoonan/when-will-the-next-moon-landing-occ
<2025:
/levifinkelstein/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-by-th
/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-97aac7e1ff3b
/TobiasSowaaed/will-a-human-mission-successfully-l
โ<2026:
/Treldman/will-there-be-a-new-human-moon-land
/BoltonBailey/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon
/AmmonLam/will-nasa-land-a-person-on-the-moon-f11b40742c45
/wadimiusz/by-the-start-of-2026-will-any-human
/Jack_Rose/will-a-country-put-another-flag-on
/JohnChristou/will-nasa-and-spacex-succeed-with-i
<2027:
/TobiasSowaaed/will-a-human-mission-successfully-l-7fdd8a8e8033
/Odoacre/will-a-human-astronaut-land-on-the
/ChadwickMiller/will-astronauts-walk-on-the-moon-be
<2028:
/StanPinsent/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-by-20
/jack/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-befor
2028 or later:
/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again
/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2fc067c3b7fb
/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-6204f804eafd