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Who will be the 2024 Republican Nominee, if it is not Donald Trump?
Mini
26
Ṁ1.1kJul 20
1D
1W
1M
ALL
42%
Nikki Haley
28%
Ron Desantis
10%
Glenn Youngkin
3%
3%
Greg Abbott
1.7%
Ted Cruz
1.7%
Elise Stefanik
1.6%
Kristi Noem
1.4%
Tucker Carlson
1.2%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1.2%
Tim Scott
1.2%
Donald Trump Jr.
1.2%
JD Vance
1.2%
Mike Pence
1.2%
Ben Carson
Resolves to the Republican Party Presidential Nominee decided at the Republican National Convention in July, if that person is not Donald Trump. The most likely way for this to happen at this point would be for there to be a brokered convention.
If the nominee is Donald Trump, this market will resolve N/A unless Manifold comes up with a better way to resolve conditional markets where the condition is not met.
If you have any suggestions for other candidates to add, please leave a comment below.
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