During 2024, will a US ship clash with a Chinese ship at Second Thomas Shoal?
Basic
9
แน€719
Dec 31
9%
chance

US ship: Navy or Coast Guard

Chinese ship: Navy, Coast Guard or Maritime Militia

Clash: physical contact or projectile weapons fired (INCLUDING WATER CANNON). Reports of sonic or laser weapons fired will also cause a YES resolution

This is a deliberately 'low-bar' market primarily testing whether the US and China have any appetite for conflict with each other over the Chinese-Filipino Second Thomas Shoal dispute.

I will not bet in this market

Get
แน€1,000
and
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@JoshuaWilkes sorry I forgot I said I wouldn't bet ๐Ÿคฃ

sold แน€20 YES

@JoshuaWilkes So dumb. Selling these shares crashed into two limit orders I put there ๐Ÿ˜ฌ

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