Resolves YES to all those MPs who lose their seat at the next general election.
If any of them announce that they are not standing for election, they will also resolve YES under the assumption that this is a primary motivating factor.
This question is the result of a recent Survation Poll finding that if the election happened in early April according to people's current preference many conservative cabinet members and influential backbenchers would lose their seat.
In other words, the infamous Portillo Moment.
The names I have chosen are a slightly arbitrary selection from those who were forecast to lose their seat (plus Hunt and Sunak who are close). I'm reticent to add them all until this question demonstrates that it can attract competitive betting rather than just crashing to close to zero and then going quiet. If people buy in then I'll add the whole cabinet and anyone else interesting.
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ306 | |
| 2 | Ṁ205 | |
| 3 | Ṁ69 | |
| 4 | Ṁ51 | |
| 5 | Ṁ19 |