Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on January 1, 2025?
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66
Ṁ17k
Jan 1
69%
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  • The impeachment vote is expected to take place in about a week

  • Impeachment requires 200 of 300 members of the National Assembly

  • Opposition currently holds 192 seats

  • 10 National Assembly members from the president's party voted against the declaration of martial law

  • The head of the president's political party rebuked him but has not weighed-in on impeachment

  • Removing the president would also mean removing all his cabinet members, and those positions are unlikely to be won back if his party members vote to impeach him

  • On the other hand, party members may lose reelection if they don't vote to impeach him

  • Once impeached, the president keeps his title but is suspended of power until a court rules on the impeachment 180 days later

  • Procedurally, the only way the president could change in the next 30 days is if he voluntarily resigns or dies

even Nixon had the dignity to resign

bought Ṁ50 YES

note the inverted question

@PaperBoy Reasoning in the comments there seems to be skepticism that he can be impeached or removed by the court in just 28 days, and a belief that he will not resign

man i was about to make this market

@SaviorofPlant could make it for a different date?

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