Will an independent/third party candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 election? [Swift Centre]
Mini
8
Ṁ593Nov 19
19%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This could include Donald Trump if he does not run on the Republican ticket.
https://open.substack.com/pub/swiftcentre/p/will-trumps-legal-battles-hinder
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
12% chance
Will a single independent candidate get more than 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election?
5% chance
Will a third party get more than 25% of the popular vote in a presidential election no later than 2040?
35% chance
Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024?
85% chance
Will a single independent candidate (barring Trump) get more than 5% of the pop vote in the 2024 US Pres election?
6% chance
What percentage of the vote will third parties and independents receive in Utah in the 2024 presidential election?
Will a candidate that is neither backed by the Republican Party or the Democratic Party run in the 2024 United States presidential election and receive at least 5% of the national popular vote?
13% chance
Will an Independent candidate receive 1+ electoral votes in 2024 Presidential Election?
16% chance
Will third-party candidates receive 5% or more of the presidential vote in 2024?
4% chance
2024 US Election: Will a third-party candidate get 2%?
7% chance