Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live)
Standard
13
Ṁ2087Jan 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
1.3%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
35%
Fabiano Caruana
2%
Praggnanandhaa R
1.8%
Alireza Firouzja
4%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
35%
D Gukesh
15%
Arjun Erigaisi
6%
Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.
If two players pass the threshold at the same update, will resolve based on who passed the threshold in live ratings first. If there is still a tie, then it will resolve based on which tied player has the higher rating.
Can resolve as Magnus or Hikaru in the event that they dip below 2800 in the official (non live) ratings and then passes it again in a later month.
Resolution date will be extended as needed.
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Sort by:
Not resolved for October. Arjun, Fabi and Gukesh are 2794+
bought Ṁ10 Nodirbek Abdusattorov YES
No one makes it after the Olympiad, tight race at the top:
@DanielTilkin this is why i like making this market, while the monthly update is as arbitrary as anything else, it's fun!
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the first chess player to reach 2900 FIDE rating?
Will Sam Shankland (re)reach a live classical rating of 2700 in 2024?
29% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen drop below 2800 Elo at any point before 2026?
42% chance
Will Tyler1 hit 2000 Elo in chess by 2025?
46% chance
Who will be the next world number 1 in chess?
Will I get a chess rating of 1000+ in 2024?
64% chance
Will someone break the record for youngest Chess player to reach 2800 FIDE rating by the end of 2028?
18% chance
Will I reach 800 elo in chess.com (10 minutes) by the end of 2024?
61% chance
Will I reach a chess.com rating of 2600 before 2026?
33% chance
Will any chess player born after 1st January 2004 reach a live rating of 2800 in 2024?
94% chance