Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live)
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16
Ṁ5921Jan 1
0.2%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
97%
Fabiano Caruana
0.3%
Praggnanandhaa R
0.2%
Alireza Firouzja
0.3%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
0.5%
D Gukesh
0.8%
Arjun Erigaisi
0.4%
Based on official FIDE classical ratings, not live.
If two players pass the threshold at the same update, will resolve based on who passed the threshold in live ratings first. If there is still a tie, then it will resolve based on which tied player has the higher rating.
Can resolve as Magnus or Hikaru in the event that they dip below 2800 in the official (non live) ratings and then passes it again in a later month.
Resolution date will be extended as needed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Not resolved for October. Arjun, Fabi and Gukesh are 2794+
bought Ṁ10 Nodirbek Abdusattorov YES
No one makes it after the Olympiad, tight race at the top:
@DanielTilkin this is why i like making this market, while the monthly update is as arbitrary as anything else, it's fun!
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