What will Joe Biden promise to do in June 2024? (free response)
Basic
26
16k
Jul 2
6%
Support a study of reparations
6%
Create a national paid family and medical leave program to give all workers up to 12 weeks of paid leave
4%
Debate RFK Jr.
4%
Offer universal preschool to 3- and 4-year-olds
1.0%
Increase the federal minimum wage to $15/hour
1.0%
Buy Greenland
1.0%
Legalize political betting
Resolved
YES
Support a ban on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines

If Joe Biden is shown to have promised in June 2024 to do something that is an option in this market, that option will resolve YES.

Anyone can submit answers to this market, and any number of answers can resolve YES. Options may be edited for clarity, to make resolution more predictable.


Resolution Rules:

  • Proof must be posted before market close on July 1st for a YES resolution, all options without proof resolve NO by default. Proof should typically be in the form of a video of Biden saying something in June, an article quoting Biden from an event in June, a new post on twitter, or a new statement from the campaign.

  • These do not have to be new promises, most cases will probably be Biden restating a previous promise. If you add a promise Biden has previously made, please provide a link in the comments to when he made it.

  • Biden does not have to use the word promise, it is sufficient for him to say that he will do something or that he will attempt to do something. However, saying that he might do something and hasn't decided would not count as a promise.

  • Biden does not have to say the exact same thing as a submitted answer here for the option to resolve YES, but specific promise in this market will not resolve YES just because Biden makes a much broader promise that might include it. For example, Biden saying only "secure the border" does not resolve the option "build a bigger wall" to YES. However, in cases where both a YES or NO resolution would be reasonable this market will err towards YES resolutions.


You can find compilations of Biden's promises on Politifact, CNN, and Wikipedia. Some notable ones:

These are all options in this market, and if Biden repeats these promises in June those options will resolve to YES. Feel free to submit any other promises from those lists you think he might repeat, or any new promises you think he might make.

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Support a ban on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines
bought Ṁ64 Support a ban on ass... YES

@ManifoldPolitics Resolves YES.

“If you care about the gun violence crisis in this country, there is only one candidate in this race with a proven record of successfully taking on the gun lobby and only one candidate who will ban assault weapons and high-capacity magazines. That’s President Biden,” the campaign said. 

https://lamag.com/news-and-politics/biden-campaign-blasts-supreme-court-after-bump-stocks-for-guns-legalized

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