Will either Biden or Harris win the 2024 Presidential Election?
Basic
52
6.2k
Nov 11
33%
chance

Resolves YES if either Joe Biden or Kamala Harris is declared the winner of the 2024 US presidential election by the Associated Press, or NO if the election is called by the AP for anyone else.

This requires that either Biden or Harris be the presidential nominee on the winning ticket. For example, a ticket with Newsom for President and Harris for Vice President would not qualify for a YES resolution.

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bought Ṁ250 YES

(And, note, Silver's model has Biden doing better since the debate. Albeit, he says we need to wait for more polls to really know.)