I will consider the question to have resolved positively if any of the following conditions are met:
>20% of Jeff Bezos' donations go towards projects relating to cost-effective global poverty reduction.
>20% of Jeff Bezos' donations go towards projects relating to animal welfare
>20% of Jeff Bezos' donations go towards projects relating to existential risk reduction
This question is a bit difficult for me to operationalize, if someone has ideas for better operationalizations please share them.
Another question, if he spends >20% on life extension/longevity will that count? If successful it would save 36M+ lives a year and an incredible amount of DALYs (essentially curing all diseases in the end). But it's not about poverty, animals, or existential risk (unless birth rates plummet and we face existential societal collapse or something?)
@MattBrooks Any climate projects focused on preventing tail-end outcomes I'll consider it as existential risk projects, projects focused more broadly on co2 reduction in general I won't.