This market will resolve to "Yes" if any formal or official announcement or confirmation is made before January 1, 2025, indicating that a coup d'etat has occurred in Iran, Egypt, Syria, Jordan, or Lebanon. A coup d'etat refers to the unlawful, unconstitutional overthrow of a government, typically by a faction within the country's political, military, or governmental structure. This could include but is not limited to the ousting, arrest, or death of a current leader and the subsequent installation of a new leader without a legal or constitutional process.
The coup d'etat must be reported by 3 of the following sources:
international news organizations (each counts as 1)
BBC
CNN
Al Jazeera
Reuters
Official government sources (each counts as 1)
United States
the United Kingdom
France
China
Russia