If China invades Taiwan, will the ratio of Nvidia market cap to TSMC market cap be greater than 3 after two months? | Manifold

If China invades Taiwan, will the ratio of Nvidia market cap to TSMC market cap be greater than 3 after two months?

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I'd be interested in the reasoning of bettors

The intention of the market is to elicit info ab this: If TSMC is significantly damaged, what will happen to Nvidia?

but I intend to interpret the title literally

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