What will I think after the election?
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After the election, will I think the following thesis was accurate?
“Harris was a fairly compelling candidate, especially when placed in unavoidable contrast with Trump, but the socioeconomic tides caused repeated drifts in sentiment towards Trump”
At market creation, I currently believe this to be accurate. This market is obviously subjective, but I will be open to arguments about the underlying belief. I will not bet on the market myself.
If any part of the thesis becomes inaccurate, I’d resolve no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@traders going to resolve yes unless anyone thinks they can convince me of otherwise. I’m most open to the idea that Harris doesn’t meet “fairly compelling” but I’d say she does
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