Will Harris gain in all three states in the next NYT / Siena poll of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania?
23
แน€2721
Sep 10
23%
chance

Among likely voters.

The most recent NYT poll showed Harris +4 in all three of these swing states among likely voters, without including RFK Jr. Resolves NO if Harris loses ground in any of these states or the exact same result comes back. Resolves N/A if the next LV poll only includes RFK and has no two-way option.

The next poll is likely to be after the Democratic National Convention.

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@SaviorofPlant Will you extend the end date if NYT hasn't published the new state polls?