How many examples of works of fiction depicting Prediction Markets will be posted here in the comments by Dec 20, 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ138
Dec 21
23
expected

Let's compile the List of Works of Fiction Depicting Prediction Markets!

  • Any media: Books, short stories, movies, audio dramas, manga, video games, etc.

    • Adaptations of the same story to different media (eg: book + audio book) generally count as just one work. If an adaptation is so loose as to be mostly an original story, I may decide to count it as two works.

  • Translations of one work into multiple languages count as one work.

  • The work must have some minimal engagement with prediction markets. For example, a character bets in one, or makes a choice based on information gleaned from the price or movement of a prediction market. Merely mentioning that prediction markets exist as a background detail isn't enough to count. Use as technobabble (eg: if the phrase "prediction market" could be replaced with "internet forum" without affecting the structure of the story) does not count.

    • Example stories that mention prediction markets only superficially, and so don't meet this requirement: "Onward to Providence: Alien Trucker with Goldfish Stowaways" and EagleJarl's "Team Anko".

  • Creating new prediction market fiction to move this market is allowed and encouraged.

    • Please don't spam chatbot-generated fluff. I reserve the right to exclude low-effort, not-very-good stories.

    • Market close timing chosen to accommodate NaNoWriMo. :)

  • Please don't delete or edit comments to remove listings to try to manipulate the count. It won't work: I'll be archiving the comments periodically and I'll re-post valid listings before resolving.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
reposted

  • https://glowfic.com/posts/4508 but hurting people is wrong

    A person isekai'd from a prediction-market-saturated culture encounters a precog & tries to work out the implications of mixing these.

    (This is an example of a work close to the line of "The work must have some minimal engagement with prediction markets" and "Merely mentioning that prediction markets exist as a background detail isn't enough to count." I rule that it counts because there's some non-trivial engagement with the mechanisms of prediction markets.)

  • https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HawFh7RvDM4RyoJ2d Three Worlds Collide

    A prediction market is used as an Emergency Broadcast System.

    (This is close to the "not just technobabble" line. I rule that it counts because it engages with the problem of winning a doom market.)

  • https://glowfic.com/posts/6263 for no laid course prepare

    Using prediction markets for medical care. The drawbacks of non-public prediction markets.

  • https://projectlawful.com/

    A city's ruler uses prediction markets to guide their decisions. Elsewhere, prices of a secret project's internal prediction markets leak through supernatural means, becoming vital intelligence for deciding if/when to go to war.

  • https://glowfic.com/posts/6284 All space became a choir

    A planet-scale catastrophe befalls dath ilan, which naturally perceives and reacts to the event through prediction markets.

  • https://glowfic.com/posts/7263 aviation is the most dangerous routine activity

    An airplane in distress uses a prediction market to coordinate passenger helpfulness.

  • https://glowfic.com/posts/7873 crack therapy for crack relationships

    Running a real-time prediction market to track how a couples' therapy session is going.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules