Will SpaceX Dragon Rescue Boeing Starliner Astronauts?
➕
Plus
89
Ṁ49k
2026
98%
chance

Boeing's first crewed Starliner mission is having some difficulties, and return has now been delayed until June 22 at the earliest. "This is the second delay in Starliner's scheduled return date"

https://www.space.com/boeing-starliner-first-astronaut-mission-return-delayed-june-22

Resolves YES only if BOTH Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams both return to earth alive on a SpaceX dragon.

Resolves NO if anything else. Examples: If they return on some other craft, or one returns on a Russian craft, or one of them dies, etc.

[Edit Aug 2: If only one astronaut returns on a Dragon, this market stays open until there is certainty about the second astronaut.]

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Ṁ1,000
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They're leaving them up there until 2025??

Except that one counts Yes even if the astronauts are dead.

@Shihan they should sum to <100, not >100. Together they cover the possibilities

  • at least one astronaut leaves on Starliner

  • both successfully rescued by Dragon

leaving out such possibilities as

  • both die on the station

  • both rescued by Soyuz

  • one rescued by Dragon, other as above

Note that that market is for whether an astronaut ever returns on the currently docked Starliner. It doesn't have to be Butch and Suni.

Resolves YES only if BOTH Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams both return to earth alive on "a SpaceX dragon".

"a" SpaceX dragon? singular? If one each on crew 8 and crew 9?

Ah, good clarification question. If one each on crew 8 and crew 9, it would still resolve Yes.

military industrial complex insane leverage vs NASA safety procedures

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