Will Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah die before 2025?
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104
Ṁ21k
resolved Sep 28
Resolved
YES

Resolves positively if credible sources report Hassan Nasrallah as having died from any cause by the end of 2024.

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bought Ṁ75 YES

Resolves YES, both Israel and Hezbollah confirmed

@PeterNjeim OK some time has passed. If Nasrallah was still alive, I would expect him to have said something by now or at least for more reports that he is alive.

bought Ṁ1 YES

Nasrallah was reportedly targeted in a recent strike on Hezbollah's headquarters in Beirut: https://english.alarabiya.net/News/middle-east/2024/09/27/israel-army-says-carrying-out-new-strikes-against-hezbollah-in-south-lebanon. As of now no indications as to whether he was present or not

@Tristan I hope they got him. But 93% seems too optimistic.

@nathanwei well even if they didn't get him today the 93% is until Jan 1 2025

Israel has successfully hit so many top Hezbollah people that I'm pretty sure they don't actually want to kill him (plausibly either because he's relatively more moderate compared to likely successors)

bought Ṁ40 YES

@ShakedKoplewitz Looks like they want to...

@ShakedKoplewitz@Shai I may have spoken too soon

@ShakedKoplewitz I should frame this take and hang it on my wall.