When Tumbles pays his loans off, will his net worth be greater than his poker losses?
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23
Ṁ31kFeb 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
38%
Yes, his net worth will be greater 👑
43%
No, his net poker losses will be greater 💀
19%
Tumbles will not successfully pay off all of his loans (on time) 🪦
Only mana counts, not my $$$ net worth or my $$$ poker losses.
Current poker net losses: Ṁ54,651
Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I WON 90K OFF @jim AND NOW I'M UP
ACTUAL BLACK SWAN EVENT
@AmmonLam If I don't pay off my loans at all it resolves to the dark grey option. If you think I'll lose a lot of mana but aren't sure if I'll pay off my loans my thinking is you can bet NO on green
This market refers to net worth rather than balance, but yes negative numbers can be used. So if I actually ended up gaining 1000 mana overall from poker but had a net worth of -2000 then it would resolve to my poker losses being bigger than my net worth.
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