![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FTumbles%252Fde8c13dcad12.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
During which month will Tumbles be late to pay back a loan?
Basic
53
Ṁ105k2025
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
January
0.1%
February
0.4%
March
3%
April
0.6%
May
2%
June
0.9%
July
3%
August
7%
September
5%
October
5%
November
2%
December
68%
all loans paid back on time
Resolves to "all loans paid back on time" if Tumbles does not owe anybody any mana. You can see how much mana Tumbles currently owes here:
/Tumbles/will-tumbles-ever-be-late-to-pay-ba
If Tumbles is late to pay off a loan he accepted before he is debt free, this market resolves to the month during which it occurred. Note that each monthly option does not specify a particular year.
Check out the Tumbles Financial Complex!
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
bought Ṁ250 all loans paid back ... YES
@DylanSlagh I think Certainty of Victory bid it up because that's when their loan is due
Related questions
Depending on the POTUS election winner, will @Tumbles be late to pay back a loan (before EOY)?
Will @Tumbles be late to pay back the 39k loan from Ammon?
6% chance
Tumbles Financial Complex Interest Rate Forecasting (2024-ish, medium term loans)
How much debt will @Tumbles have at the end of 2024?
Will the Tumbles Financial Complex be declared insolvent, but make a comeback?
82% chance
When Tumbles pays his loans off, will his net worth be greater than his poker losses?
When will Tontine pay out?