Will the Tumbles Financial Complex be declared insolvent, but make a comeback?

Personal Tumbles Financial Complex Loans Unsubsidized Unranked

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This market resolves YES if both of these conditions are met:
1. The 'Tumbles Credit Score' market resolves YES
2. The 'Tumbles Creditor Insurance' market resolves NO, or a month has passed after the credit score market has resolved

This market resolves NO if either of those markets resolve the opposite way.

Basically, this market resolves YES if Tumbles would default on his loans, but avoids it by buying mana or getting bailed out.

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sold Ṁ25 NO

I've changed the title to more accurately reflect the description. It looks unlikely that a YES resolution will come from a bailout, and in retrospect it was probably always a bad title.

Just to check: you will resolve according to the 2-point criteria in the description, right? The market title, and the paragraph starting "Basically, ..." are immaterial?

If your resolution depends on not just the 2-point criteria in the description, but also the market title and the paragraph starting "Basically, ...", then I think you have changed the market resolution criteria.

Previous title:

Will the Tumbles Financial Complex experience a crisis and require a bailout?

After your change on July 4:

Will the Tumbles Financial Complex be declared insolvent, but make a comeback?

My analogy is that Silicon Valley Bank experienced a crisis and required a bailout. But it didn't get a bailout. So it became insolvent and did not make a comeback.

If you are changing the market resolution criteria, then I would like to register my objection.

(But I acknowledge that you may have the right to make changes in unranked personal markets.)

@6ix The 2000 counts as a gift, and thus doesn't count towards my net worth for the purposes of the credit score market. So if I end up losing enough mana that this 2000 is the only reason I'm able to pay off a debt, this market will resolve YES.