If Trump wins the 2024 election, will he enact a 10% tariff on most imported goods?
Basic
21
Ṁ12602029
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Trump doesn't win the election, I'll cancel the question. I'm saying "most" because if there are a few exceptions I'll still resolve as "yes".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@ZacharyGoldstein There’s a realistic level of tariffs to appease the base, and then there’s the level that’d substantially depress consumer income & require breaking treaty obligations.
@ZacharyGoldstein In name only; it was amended to better cope with IP. No major disruptions to trade
Related questions
Related questions
Trump impose large tariffs in first year?
60% chance
If Trump wins the election will the inflation rate in 2025 be below 2.5% (Current 2.5%)?
56% chance
Trump to impose 10% tariff on all countries in first year?
22% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be "no tax on tips" by 2028?
45% chance
If Trump wins, will any country enact economic sanctions against the U.S. by the 2026 midterms?
55% chance
Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada?
62% chance
If Trump wins, will his approval rating be above 40% after one year in office?
40% chance
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the EU before 2026?
64% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will he be impeached again?
45% chance
Trump to impose 60% tariff on China in first year?
17% chance