Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Manifold

Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections?

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resolved Jul 18

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YES

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Resolves positively if Von der Leyen is nominated by the European Council and elected by the European Parliament, for a second five-year term after the 2024 European elections.

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#German Politics

#Elections: World

#European Union

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predicted NO

Just leaving this here. Why do you think Stoltenberg’s term was elongated by 1 year?

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eus-von-der-leyen-is-running-be-new-nato-head-the-sun-2023-03-31/

predicted NO

@Gideon37 However https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20231128-rutte-favourite-to-be-next-nato-boss-despite-dutch-vote-shock

predicted NO

@marktwse More directly

predicted NO

@marktwse IMHO the United States have the strongest impact, and we know who Biden favors.

predicted NO

For all EU commissioners: /marktwse/which-eu-commissioner-will-be-reapp

Should be arbitraged against

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