How many additional Joint Sword exercises will China conduct in 2024?
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China conducted one Joint Sword exercise in 2023:

https://www.axios.com/2023/04/08/china-taiwan-military-drills-tsai-mccarthy

It has conducted one exercise so far in 2024, titled "2024A" (indicating it possibly plans do to more):

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/china-taiwan-weekly-update-may-24-2024

Resolves to the number of additional Joint Sword operations that China conducts in 2024 (exclusive of 2024A).

Fine print:

  • Each exercise must explicitly be named something including "Joint Sword" in order to count.

  • Exercises count as separate and increment the counter if either:

    • They are officially titled differently, e.g. Joint Sword 2024B and 2024C

    • They are titled generically under the overall "Joint Sword" banner and there is at least 72 hours of non-exercise time between phases of active operations.

  • In the unlikely and unfortunate event that there are active non-exercise military operations titled "Joint Sword", that still counts, subject to the rules above.

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3 months left in 2024, will there be another chinese Joint Sword exercise? there almost definitely won't be 2 more

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