Will more than 75% of Roko's 2024 predictions turn out to be correct?
Basic
0
Ṁ8Jan 1
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣ Will Manifold users that respond to the poll asking if it will reach 500 votes by EOY 2024 predict correctly?
29% chance
Which 2024 US presidential election forecasting product will be the most accurate?
How many of my predictions in "Markets for Lemons and the Great Logging Off" will come to pass by the end of 2027?
4.5
Will The Keys to the White House correctly predict the 2024 election?
55% chance
Which of the following forecasts will correctly predict the winner of the 2024 presidential election on the day before?
Will 538 correctly predict the winner of the 2024 presidential election?
67% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
43% chance
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2024 election?
46% chance
How many of the FT writers’ predictions for the world in 2024 will turn out to be correct?
66% chance
Which one is the most accurate prediction market? (2024)