I want to assess FT's track record for predictions. Last year they missed the mark on five forecasts. For 2025, the publication has laid out the following predictions:

1. Will there be a peace deal between Ukraine and Russia?

Yes.

2. Will Emmanuel Macron survive as French president?

Yes.

3. Will the Magnificent Seven take a fall?

No.

4. Will Chinese export prices fall further?

Yes.

5. Will Elon Musk and Donald Trump fall out?

No.

6. Will Germany relax its debt brake?

Yes.

7. Will the bond market buckle?

No.

8. Will China’s carbon emissions fall?

No.

9. Will Britain’s Labour government stick to its promise not to raise taxes further?

Yes.

10. Will Israel and the US strike Iran’s nuclear plants?

No.

11. Will Bitcoin hit $200,000?

Yes.

12. Will India’s GDP overtake Japan’s?

No.

13. Will electric vehicles make up more than a quarter of global auto sales?

No.

14. Will Javier Milei lift Argentina’s exchange controls?

Yes.

15. Will the war in Sudan continue?

Yes.

16. Will we have AI agents we can use?

Yes.

17. Will there be another big Hollywood studio deal?

Yes.

18. Will CDs begin a long-term revival similar to vinyl?

No.

19. Will Donald Trump start a full-scale tariff war?

Yes.

20. Will US interest rates end the year lower than now?

No.