Will at least four candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Basic
6
แน1176Jan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
2016 had four candidates break the 1.0% mark, but 2020 only had three.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Third-party_and_independent_candidates_for_the_2016_United_States_presidential_election
Related questions
Related questions
Will any candidate get a majority of the popular vote in 2024?
82% chance
Will at least three candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
11% chance
Will a single third party candidate receive 2% or more of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
4% chance
Will the candidate who wins the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election become president?
99% chance
Will at least five candidates win at least 1% of the national popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2% chance
Will the third most popular candidate in the 2024 US presidential election receive X% or more of the popular vote?
Will a third party get more than 2% of the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Elections?
2% chance
Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
Will any candidate win a majority of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
73% chance
What percentage of the pop. vote will each candidate receive in the 2024 US Presidential Election? [3350 in subsidies]