Will Kalshi or Polymarket launch a conditional market in 2024?
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Ṁ410Dec 31
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Conditional markets are useful to guide decision making.
Resolves YES when Kalshi or Polymarket provide at least one conditional market people trade on.
Resolves NO in 2025.
By "conditional market", I mean something like Metaculus provides:
It needs to be somehow mechanically different to the multiple choice markets, they already provide.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@MaybeNotDepends I want to be liberal about it, but this is not what people mean when talking about "conditional markets". Added some more description.
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