In New York City, on what day will the highest temperature of July 2024 be recorded?
Basic
23
15k
Jul 31
6%
2nd
6%
4th
3%
5th
3%
6th
8%
7th
6%
8th
6%
9th
6%
10th
5%
11th
10%
12th
6%
13th
6%
14th
6%
15th
6%
16th
9%
17th
6%
18th
11%
19th
6%
20th
5%
21st
6%
22nd

The market closes one minute before midnight on the penultimate day of the month.

The market will be resolved on the first day of the next month with data from https://www.timeanddate.com/weather/usa/new-york/historic

Ties are possible.

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bought Ṁ239 Answer #cyei7gvl1u NO

The high temperature on the 2nd still holds the top spot

Already warmer on the second than the first

bought Ṁ50 21st NO

Will ties be resolved to 100% of each winning option? or 100% total, split evenly across all winners?

Also, I don't understand why you're using independent probabilities, rather than forcing them to sum up to 1. Oh well, free money for me I guess.